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            Abstract. Here we present a newly developed ice core gas-phase proxy that directlysamples a component of the large-scale atmospheric circulation:synoptic-scale pressure variability. Surface pressure changes weakly disrupt gravitational isotopic settling in the firn layer, which is recorded in krypton-86 excess (86Krxs). The 86Krxs may therefore reflect the time-averaged synoptic pressure variability over several years (site “storminess”), but it likely cannot record individual synoptic events as ice core gas samples typically average over several years. We validate 86Krxs using late Holocene ice samples from 11 Antarctic ice cores and 1 Greenland ice core that collectively represent a wide range of surface pressure variability in the modern climate. We find a strong spatial correlation (r=-0.94, p<0.01) between site average 86Krxs and time-averaged synoptic variability from reanalysis data. The main uncertainties in the analysis are the corrections for gas loss and thermal fractionation and the relatively large scatter in the data. Limited scientific understanding of the firn physics and potential biases of 86Krxs require caution in interpreting this proxy at present. We show that Antarctic 86Krxs appears to be linked to the position of the Southern Hemisphere eddy-driven subpolar jet (SPJ), with a southern position enhancing pressure variability. We present a 86Krxs record covering the last 24 kyr from the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) Divide ice core. Based on the empirical spatial correlation of synoptic activity and 86Krxs at various Antarctic sites, we interpret this record to show that West Antarctic synoptic activity is slightly below modern levels during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM), increases during the Heinrich Stadial 1 and Younger Dryas North Atlantic cold periods, weakens abruptly at the Holocene onset, remains low during the early and mid-Holocene, and gradually increases to its modern value. The WAIS Divide 86Krxs record resembles records of monsoon intensity thought to reflect changes in the meridional position of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) on orbital and millennial timescales such that West Antarctic storminess is weaker when the ITCZ is displaced northward and stronger when it is displaced southward. We interpret variations in synoptic activity as reflecting movement of the South Pacific SPJ in parallel to the ITCZ migrations, which is the expected zonal mean response of the eddy-driven jet in models and proxy data. Past changes to Pacific climate and the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) may amplify the signal of the SPJ migration. Our interpretation is broadly consistent with opal flux records from the Pacific Antarctic zone thought to reflect wind-driven upwelling. We emphasize that 86Krxs is a new proxy, and more work is called for to confirm, replicate, and better understand these results; until such time, our conclusions regarding past atmospheric dynamics remainspeculative. Current scientific understanding of firn air transport andtrapping is insufficient to explain all the observed variations in86Krxs. A list of suggested future studies is provided.more » « less
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            Abstract. Over recent decades Antarctic sea-ice extent has increased, alongsidewidespread ice shelf thinning and freshening of waters along the Antarcticmargin. In contrast, Earth system models generally simulate a decrease insea ice. Circulation of water masses beneath large-cavity ice shelves is notincluded in current Earth System models and may be a driver of thisphenomena. We examine a Holocene sediment core off East Antarctica thatrecords the Neoglacial transition, the last major baseline shift ofAntarctic sea ice, and part of a late-Holocene global cooling trend. Weprovide a multi-proxy record of Holocene glacial meltwater input, sedimenttransport, and sea-ice variability. Our record, supported by high-resolutionocean modelling, shows that a rapid Antarctic sea-ice increase during themid-Holocene (∼ 4.5 ka) occurred against a backdrop ofincreasing glacial meltwater input and gradual climate warming. We suggestthat mid-Holocene ice shelf cavity expansion led to cooling of surfacewaters and sea-ice growth that slowed basal ice shelf melting.Incorporating this feedback mechanism into global climate models will beimportant for future projections of Antarctic changes.more » « less
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            null (Ed.)Abstract. In 2013 an ice core was recovered from Roosevelt Island, an ice dome between two submarine troughs carved by paleo-ice-streams in the Ross Sea, Antarctica. The ice core is part of the Roosevelt Island Climate Evolution (RICE) project and provides new information about the past configuration of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) and its retreat during the last deglaciation. In this work we present the RICE17 chronology, which establishes the depth–age relationship for the top 754 m of the 763 m core. RICE17 is a composite chronology combining annual layer interpretations for 0–343 m (Winstrup et al., 2019) with new estimates for gas and ice ages based on synchronization of CH4 and δ18Oatm records to corresponding records from the WAIS Divide ice core and by modeling of the gas age–ice age difference. Novel aspects of this work include the following: (1) an automated algorithm for multiproxy stratigraphic synchronization of high-resolution gas records; (2) synchronization using centennial-scale variations in methane for pre-anthropogenic time periods (60–720 m, 1971 CE to 30 ka), a strategy applicable for future ice cores; and (3) the observation of a continuous climate record back to ∼65 ka providing evidence that the Roosevelt Island Ice Dome was a constant feature throughout the last glacial period.more » « less
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            null (Ed.)Abstract. Here we present Antarctic snow accumulation variability at the regional scale over the past 1000 years. A total of 79 ice core snow accumulation records were gathered and assigned to seven geographical regions, separating the high-accumulation coastal zones below 2000 m of elevation from the dry central Antarctic Plateau. The regional composites of annual snow accumulation were evaluated against modelled surface mass balance (SMB) from RACMO2.3p2 and precipitation from ERA-Interim reanalysis. With the exception of the Weddell Sea coast, the low-elevation composites capture the regional precipitation and SMB variability as defined by the models. The central Antarctic sites lack coherency and either do not represent regional precipitation or indicate the model inability to capture relevant precipitation processes in the cold, dry central plateau. Our results show that SMB for the total Antarctic Ice Sheet (including ice shelves) has increased at a rate of 7 ± 0.13 Gt decade−1 since 1800 AD, representing a net reduction in sea level of ∼ 0.02 mm decade−1 since 1800 and ∼ 0.04 mm decade−1 since 1900 AD. The largest contribution is from the Antarctic Peninsula (∼ 75 %) where the annual average SMB during the most recent decade (2001–2010) is 123 ± 44 Gt yr−1 higher than the annual average during the first decade of the 19th century. Only four ice core records cover the full 1000 years, and they suggest a decrease in snow accumulation during this period. However, our study emphasizes the importance of low-elevation coastal zones, which have been under-represented in previous investigations of temporal snow accumulation.more » « less
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            Abstract. We present a 2700-year annually resolved chronology and snow accumulationhistory for the Roosevelt Island Climate Evolution (RICE) ice core, Ross IceShelf, West Antarctica. The core adds information on past accumulationchanges in an otherwise poorly constrained sector of Antarctica. The timescale was constructed by identifying annual cycles inhigh-resolution impurity records, and it constitutes the top part of theRoosevelt Island Ice Core Chronology 2017 (RICE17). Validation by volcanicand methane matching to the WD2014 chronology from the WAIS Divide ice coreshows that the two timescales are in excellent agreement. In a companionpaper, gas matching to WAIS Divide is used to extend the timescale for thedeeper part of the core in which annual layers cannot be identified. Based on the annually resolved timescale, we produced a record of past snowaccumulation at Roosevelt Island. The accumulation history shows thatRoosevelt Island experienced slightly increasing accumulation rates between700 BCE and 1300 CE, with an average accumulation of 0.25±0.02 mwater equivalent (w.e.) per year. Since 1300 CE, trends in the accumulationrate have been consistently negative, with an acceleration in the rate ofdecline after the mid-17th century. The current accumulation rate atRoosevelt Island is 0.210±0.002 m w.e. yr−1 (average since 1965 CE, ±2σ), and it is rapidly declining with a trend corresponding to0.8 mm yr−2. The decline observed since the mid-1960s is 8 times fasterthan the long-term decreasing trend taking place over the previouscenturies, with decadal mean accumulation rates consistently being belowaverage. Previous research has shown a strong link between Roosevelt Islandaccumulation rates and the location and intensity of the Amundsen Sea Low,which has a significant impact on regional sea-ice extent. The decrease inaccumulation rates at Roosevelt Island may therefore be explained in termsof a recent strengthening of the ASL and the expansion of sea ice in the easternRoss Sea. The start of the rapid decrease in RICE accumulation ratesobserved in 1965 CE may thus mark the onset of significant increases inregional sea-ice extent.more » « less
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            High-resolution, well-dated climate archives provide an opportunity to investigate the dynamic interactions of climate patterns relevant for future projections. Here, we present data from a new, annually dated ice core record from the eastern Ross Sea, named the Roosevelt Island Climate Evolution (RICE) ice core. Comparison of this record with climate reanalysis data for the 1979–2012 interval shows that RICE reliably captures temperature and snow precipitation variability in the region. Trends over the past 2700 years in RICE are shown to be distinct from those in West Antarctica and the western Ross Sea captured by other ice cores. For most of this interval, the eastern Ross Sea was warming (or showing isotopic enrichment for other reasons), with increased snow accumulation and perhaps decreased sea ice concentration. However, West Antarctica cooled and the western Ross Sea showed no significant isotope temperature trend. This pattern here is referred to as the Ross Sea Dipole. Notably, during the Little Ice Age, West Antarctica and the western Ross Sea experienced colder than average temperatures, while the eastern Ross Sea underwent a period of warming or increased isotopic enrichment. From the 17th century onwards, this dipole relationship changed. All three regions show current warming, with snow accumulation declining in West Antarctica and the eastern Ross Sea but increasing in the western Ross Sea. We interpret this pattern as reflecting an increase in sea ice in the eastern Ross Sea with perhaps the establishment of a modern Roosevelt Island polynya as a local moisture source for RICE.more » « less
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